Yes, the SEC has been the dominant conference in the BCS era and SEC teams have won the last six BCS Championships. Not to mention, Alabama is the current defending champs. And I’m sure it’s hard to bet against a defense that finished best in the nation in scoring, passing, rushing and total defense in 2011. All that aside, here’s the reasoning behind why I’m saying, I smell an upset!
Nick Saban’s illustrious defense will be green as can be. Alabama only returns 12 starters from last season’s squad and six of them are on the defense. The only returning starter in the linebacking core for Bama is (Sr.) Nico Johnson.
Alabama’s new offensive coordinator Doug Nussmeier is more of a pass first kind of guy. Which makes me excited for opportunities coming Courtney Avery, Black Countess and Jordan Kovacs’ way.
Alabama’s returning starter quarterback AJ McCarron should be a poised vet taking snaps this year but will work behind an inexperienced offensive line. This fact could make for a long day if the Wolverine defense comes out with a blood-lust.
The Wolverine offense is daannngggerous!
Although Michigan only ranked 26th last season in scoring offense, Team 133 will up the ante in 2012.
In order for Michigan to pull off the win against these southern guys they’ll need to establish effective and balanced offense attack. The running game must fire on all cylinders and the offensive line starters on the line — Taylor Lewan, Elliott Mealer, Ricky Barnum, Patrick Omameh and Michael Schofield — will need to control the Tide defensive front.
That should allow the Wolverine sophomore running back Thomas Rawls to ground and pound out the tough yards consistently. And that protection will also allow Denard to rush effectively and causing chaos for Bama’s defense.
Also, if the run game is effective it will lead to great play action passing situations. In addition to opening up running lands for Shoelace.
This game will be closer than most are thinking. I see the the Alabama defense struggling against the Wolverine offense, and the Michigan defense will be able to handle the Bama play-makers fairly well.
In the end it wont be the blowout some SEC lovers expect. Instead, it will be decided by play-makers, turnovers, and lucky breaks..
Michigan still wins, sealing the game with a defensive stand late in the 4th!
Prediction: Michigan – 31, Bama – 28
You can follow John Kayser on Twitter at MGoYambo.